Komal Sri-Kumar - Buzzberg

Date	Ticker	Direction	Thesis	Source
Feb 10, 2026	US INFLATION	WATCH	Despite recent data appearing light, the speaker predicts January will show a significant "pickup" in inflation. Historical seasonality. The speaker argues that seasonal adjustment factors are imperfect and that January consistently appears as a "big inflation month" compared to November and December. Historical trends of January data versus year-end data. If inflation remains low, this thesis is invalidated.	CNBC Experts break down the December retail sales ...
Feb 10, 2026	BROAD MARKET	AVOID	The speaker draws a direct parallel between the current AI narrative and the 1999 dot-com era, warning that the "productivity boom" promise may fail to squash inflation. If a new Fed Chair (specifically mentioning Kevin Warsh) assumes AI will lower inflation via productivity (like Greenspan in the 90s) and refuses to raise rates, inflation will run hot. Eventually, the Fed will be forced to either hike rates or shrink the balance sheet. Historical precedents—the 2000 stock market crash, the 2001 recession, the September 2019 cash shortage, and the March 2023 regional banking crisis. The speaker warns this policy path leads to a "cash shortage problem" or a crash, forcing the Fed to eventually reverse course back to Quantitative Easing (QE).	CNBC Experts break down the December retail sales ...